A new “supercomputer” prediction has given Llanelli darts star Jonny Clayton just a 0.5% chance of winning his first World Championship title at Alexandra Palace this winter.
Clayton, nicknamed The Ferret, is rated as having a 35.7% chance of reaching the quarter‑finals and a 21.6% chance of making the semi‑finals. His chances of reaching the final stand at 1.5%.
The figures come from a statistical model run by BOYLE Sports, who offer the latest darts odds. The system simulated the tournament 10,000 times using player ratings and recent form.
Littler the overwhelming favourite
Teenage sensation Luke Littler is tipped as the runaway favourite, with a 70.3% chance of retaining his world title. His nearest rival, Welshman Gerwyn Price, is given just a 9.5% chance of winning.
The model predicts a repeat of last year’s final between Littler and Luke Humphries as the most likely outcome, with Humphries rated at 24% to reach the final.
Three‑time world champion Michael van Gerwen, runner‑up in 2025, is also given only a 0.5% chance of lifting the trophy again.
Local hopes rest on Clayton
Despite the long odds, Clayton remains a fan favourite in Llanelli and across Wales. His consistent performances on the PDC circuit have kept him in contention, and supporters will be hoping he can defy the predictions and make a deep run at Ally Pally.
The World Championship begins later this month, with the final set for New Year’s Day.
